Hawkesbury City SC – Fraser Park

Model: TIPPSH

Hawkesbury City SC vs Fraser Park

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 11:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 43d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.96% · n=84
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.96% · n=84
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 43d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hawkesbury City SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hawkesbury City SCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

63/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.99Highest point
Min odds2.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hawkesbury City SCHOME
VS
Fraser ParkAWAY
DDWWW
Recent form
DLWDL
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.80
Shots on target for
8.20
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
8.60
4.60
Home splitD-W-W-D-W3.20 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-D-D0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.96% based on n=84 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.96% · n=84
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.96% · n=84
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Hawkesbury City SC. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Hawkesbury City SC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -6.2% 7D: -12.2% 15D: -5.2% 30D: 8.7%
Model insight

Hawkesbury City SC – Fraser Park Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.96% and 7.96%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample6
Win Rate16.7%
Profit-2.83u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSMFK Zvolen - FC Tatran Presov3.007.96%
LOSSAthlone Town - UCD2.827.96%
LOSSParaguay - Australia2.917.96%
LOSSFC Yamato Sylphid (W) - Veertien Mie (W)2.757.96%
WINTecnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil3.177.96%
LOSSHaras El Hedoud - Petrojet2.877.96%
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 11:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.96% • n=84
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.96% • n=84
Start
Started 43d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 43d 14h ago
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