Model: TIPPSH

Cristobal Colon JAS vs 3 de Noviembre

PREDICTION

@ 2.71

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 14, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultWIN3 - 2

StartStarted 5h 58m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cristobal Colon JAS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Cristobal Colon JAS

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.71Now

Max odds2.71Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Cristobal Colon JASHOME

3 de NoviembreAWAY

WLDDW

Recent form

LLDDL

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.60

Shots on target for

5.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

4.80

Home splitW-L-D-W-W2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-L-L1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.71. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Cup (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.71

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Cristobal Colon JAS has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -16.9% 7D: 0.8% 15D: 20.7% 30D: 15.3%

Model insight

Cristobal Colon JAS – 3 de Noviembre Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample38

Win Rate44.7%

Profit+6.74u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	EPS - P-Iirot	2.47	3.15%
WIN	Vikingur Reykjavik - Gyori ETO	2.47	3.15%
LOSS	Fredrikstad - Lillestrom	2.89	2.04%
WIN	San Diego Wave (W) - NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	2.89	4.53%
LOSS	Las Vegas Lights FC - El Paso Locomotive FC	2.84	4.53%
WIN	Angel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W)	2.52	2.49%
LOSS	Denver Summit FC (W) - Kansas City Current (W)	2.47	2.49%
LOSS	Vikingur Gota - NSI Runavik	2.76	2.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Miami FC - Indy Eleven	1	2.79	4.53%	16 Jul 01:00

Pick

1 @ 2.71

Kickoff

Lug 14, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.49% • n=1025

Start

Started 5h 58m ago

Updated

Updated 8h ago