Marine vs Colwyn Bay
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Colwyn Bay. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Colwyn BayValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.75. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.27% based on n=211 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Colwyn Bay shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Marine – Colwyn Bay Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Clermont Foot - US Orleans 45 | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| WIN | Universitatea Cluj - Nyiregyhaza Spartacus | 3.75 | 2.27% |
| WIN | Serrano - Sao Goncalo | 3.70 | 2.63% |
| WIN | FC Trinity Zlin - MFK Skalica | 3.50 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Ferroviario Lichinga - Costa Do Sol | 3.50 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Adelaide Cobras - Eastern United | 3.70 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas - CA Costa Brava | 3.80 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Bath Estate - Mighty Avengers | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Colegiales - Ferrocarril Midland | 2 | 3.60 | 2.63% | 18 Jul 22:00 |