Ipswich FC – North Star

Model: TipA1

Ipswich FC vs North Star

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.20
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 18, 2026 11:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 1h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.73% · n=17
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.73% · n=17
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is North Star. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: North Star

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.40First seen
Current4.22Now
Max odds4.28Highest point
Min odds3.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ipswich FCHOME
VS
North StarAWAY
LDLLL
Recent form
DLLLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.40
Defensive weakness
2.60
1.60
Shots on target for
2.80
7.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
6.20
Home splitD-L-D-D-W1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-W-L0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.73% based on n=17 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.20
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.73% · n=17
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.73% · n=17
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to North Star's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -67.6% 7D: 7.7% 15D: 11.0% 30D: 15.2%
Model insight

Ipswich FC – North Star Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.73% and 4.73%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample20
Win Rate30.0%
Profit+4.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSClermont Foot - US Orleans 454.002.27%
WINPoxyt - MPS4.204.37%
LOSSBath Estate - Mighty Avengers4.002.27%
LOSSHudson Valley Crusaders (W) - New England Mutiny (W)4.002.27%
LOSSJuventud Unida Universitario - CA Costa Brava4.104.73%
LOSSOrsomarso (W) - Junior (W)4.204.37%
LOSSCF Esperança d'Andorra - SC Escaldes4.002.27%
LOSSJohannesburg Uni (W) - Ezemvelo (W)4.202.27%
Pick
2 @ 4.20
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 11:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.73% • n=17
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.73% • n=17
Start
Starts in 3d 1h
Updated
Updated 9m ago
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