Ansan Greeners FC – Jinju Citizen FC

Model: TIPPSA

Ansan Greeners FC vs Jinju Citizen FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.78
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 15, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 2d ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=49
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=49
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Jinju Citizen FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Jinju Citizen FC

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

54/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.10First seen
Current3.94Now
Max odds4.50Highest point
Min odds3.74Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ansan Greeners FCHOME
VS
Jinju Citizen FCAWAY
LWLLL
Recent form
WWWWW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.40
0.40
Shots on target for
3.20
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
3.20
Home splitL-W-L-L-L0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D-W2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.78. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=49 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea Cup (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.78
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=49
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=49
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Jinju Citizen FC shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Jinju Citizen FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -18.9% 7D: -4.6% 15D: 10.1% 30D: 14.5%
Model insight

Ansan Greeners FC – Jinju Citizen FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.99% and 3.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate11.5%
Profit-14.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSLos Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders3.654.77%
LOSSGrasshoppers - Aarau3.583.84%
LOSSFC Inter II - KUPS Akatemia3.702.94%
LOSSCobh Ramblers - Athlone Town3.593.04%
Pick
2 @ 3.78
Kickoff
Lug 15, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.99% • n=49
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.99% • n=49
Start
Started 2d ago
Updated
Updated 2d 3h ago
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