NK Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sheriff Tiraspol. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sheriff TiraspolValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.03% based on n=125 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Europa League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Sheriff Tiraspol is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
NK Aluminij – Sheriff Tiraspol Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Heidelberg United (W) - Alamein FC (W) | 2.25 | 1.02% |
| WIN | CD Rengo Unido - Colchagua CD | 2.00 | 1.03% |
| LOSS | Murdoch University Melville FC - Inglewood United | 2.25 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | Manly United U20 - Sydney United 58 U20 | 2.00 | 1.03% |
| LOSS | Kingsley Westside Reserves - Quinns FC Reserves | 2.20 | 1.03% |
| WIN | Myawady FC U20 - Yadanarbon FC U20 | 2.25 | 1.02% |
| WIN | Boston River Reserves - Defensor Sporting Reserves | 2.25 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | Western Knights U23 - Perth SC U23 | 2.15 | 1.03% |