St George Willawong FC vs Caboolture FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is St George Willawong FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: St George Willawong FCValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.60. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.85% based on n=71 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. St George Willawong FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
St George Willawong FC – Caboolture FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bedfont Sports - St Albans | 3.80 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Taichung Futuro - Naval | 3.50 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | Central Cordoba SdE U20 - Atletico Tucuman U20 | 3.80 | 4.09% |
| WIN | Sligo Rovers (W) - Wexford FC (W) | 3.75 | 4.84% |
| LOSS | Spartans - Arbroath | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | SV Horn - Floridsdorfer AC | 3.60 | 3.99% |
| LOSS | FC Ylivieska - FC Kiisto | 3.50 | 4.85% |
| LOSS | Peamount Utd (W) - Athlone Town (W) | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagaing United FC U20 - Yadanarbon FC U20 | 1 | 3.75 | 4.09% | 16 Jul 11:00 |
| Stockport - Bristol City | 1 | 3.75 | 4.09% | 17 Jul 11:00 |
| Hills United FC U20 - Hakoah Sydney City East U20 | 1 | 3.50 | 3.99% | 18 Jul 11:00 |