Almirante Brown Reserves vs CA San Telmo Reserves
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is CA San Telmo Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CA San Telmo ReservesValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=691 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional Reserve League (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. CA San Telmo Reserves is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Almirante Brown Reserves – CA San Telmo Reserves Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Macarthur Rams (W) - Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 2.00 | -3.85% |
| LOSS | Argentino Quilmes - Arsenal de Sarandi | 2.15 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | Ceara (W) - 3B Sport AM (W) | 2.05 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | Defensa y Justicia U20 - Belgrano U20 | 2.20 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | JK Nomme United II - FC Flora Tallinn II | 2.15 | -1.48% |
| WIN | St. James Swifts (W) - Sion Swifts (W) | 2.05 | -3.85% |
| LOSS | Holland Park Hawks U23 - North Star U23 | 2.10 | -3.85% |
| WIN | Osasco Sporting U20 - Ibrachina U20 | 2.00 | -1.48% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Luiz - CSA | 2 | 2.20 | -1.48% | 19 Jul 16:00 |