Model: TIPPSH

One Knoxville SC vs Fort Wayne FC

PREDICTION

@ 1.79

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 16, 2026 2:30 AM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 5h 32m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7h 42m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is One Knoxville SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: One Knoxville SC

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.76First seen

Current1.79Now

Max odds1.81Highest point

Min odds1.76Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

One Knoxville SCHOME

Fort Wayne FCAWAY

WDWWW

Recent form

LLWWD

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.00

Shots on target for

3.60

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

3.20

Home splitW-W-D-W-L1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-D-L1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.79. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL League One (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.79

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -25.7% 7D: -11.5% 15D: 8.6% 30D: 14.8%

Model insight

One Knoxville SC – Fort Wayne FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample236

Win Rate44.9%

Profit-36.23u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Caen - Paris 13 Atletico	1.98	1.31%
WIN	FC Fredericia - CD Mafra	1.81	1.04%
LOSS	Gyeongnam FC - Yeoju	1.82	1.04%
LOSS	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	1.92	1.31%
WIN	AB Copenhagen - Helsingborg	1.95	1.04%
WIN	La Luz - Tacuarembo	1.95	1.04%
WIN	Botafogo PB - AD Confianca	2.02	1.31%
WIN	GAIS - Elfsborg	1.95	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.79

Kickoff

Lug 16, 2026 2:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 5h 32m ago

Updated

Updated 7h 42m ago