Model: TipTromba4H

Sagaing United FC U20 vs Yadanarbon FC U20

PREDICTION

@ 3.75

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 16, 2026 1:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3h 3m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6h 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sagaing United FC U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sagaing United FC U20

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.75First seen

Current4.03Now

Max odds4.03Highest point

Min odds3.75Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sagaing United FC U20HOME

Yadanarbon FC U20AWAY

DLLLL

Recent form

WDLLW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

3.40

1.40

Shots on target for

4.60

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

8.40

7.60

Home splitD-L-L-D2.25 scored / 3.25 conceded

Away splitL-W-W1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Myanmar U20 League (mm). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.75

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -25.7% 7D: -11.5% 15D: 8.3% 30D: 14.8%

Model insight

Sagaing United FC U20 – Yadanarbon FC U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.09% and 4.09%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample85

Win Rate31.8%

Profit+15.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Bedfont Sports - St Albans	3.80	4.09%
LOSS	Taichung Futuro - Naval	3.50	3.99%
LOSS	Central Cordoba SdE U20 - Atletico Tucuman U20	3.80	4.09%
WIN	Sligo Rovers (W) - Wexford FC (W)	3.75	4.84%
LOSS	Spartans - Arbroath	3.75	4.09%
LOSS	SV Horn - Floridsdorfer AC	3.60	3.99%
LOSS	FC Ylivieska - FC Kiisto	3.50	4.85%
LOSS	Peamount Utd (W) - Athlone Town (W)	3.75	4.09%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Stockport - Bristol City	1	3.75	4.09%	17 Jul 11:00
Hills United FC U20 - Hakoah Sydney City East U20	1	3.50	3.99%	18 Jul 11:00

Pick

1 @ 3.75

Kickoff

Lug 16, 2026 1:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.09% • n=255

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.09% • n=255

Start

Starts in 3h 3m

Updated

Updated 6h 8m ago