Spartans – Arbroath

Model: TipTromba4H

Spartans vs Arbroath

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.75
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 11, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 10h 31m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h 38m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Spartans. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Spartans

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.20First seen
Current4.10Now
Max odds4.20Highest point
Min odds3.95Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SpartansHOME
VS
ArbroathAWAY
DLDDW
Recent form
WLDLD
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
4.40
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
3.20
Home splitD-D-L1.00 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitL-D-L0.00 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.75
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 16.6% 7D: 16.1% 15D: 28.6% 30D: 16.3%
Model insight

Spartans – Arbroath Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.09% and 4.09%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample80
Win Rate32.5%
Profit+16.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSV Horn - Floridsdorfer AC3.603.99%
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LOSSPeamount Utd (W) - Athlone Town (W)3.754.09%
LOSSSCR Altach - Heidenheim3.904.09%
LOSSSan Luis Quillota - Everton de Vina3.603.99%
WINKingston City - Nunawading3.804.09%
WINFC Solothurn - Young Boys II3.904.09%
WINSalus - Durazno3.604.85%
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Pick
1 @ 3.75
Kickoff
Lug 11, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.09% • n=255
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.09% • n=255
Start
Starts in 10h 31m
Updated
Updated 7h 38m ago
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