Tecnico Universitario – SD Aucas

Model: TipA1

Tecnico Universitario vs SD Aucas

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.30
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 19, 2026 8:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 11h
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.36% · n=530
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SD Aucas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SD Aucas

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

50/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.33Now
Max odds2.34Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tecnico UniversitarioHOME
VS
SD AucasAWAY
LLWWL
Recent form
WWDWW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.20
Shots on target for
2.20
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
1.60
Home splitL-W-W-W-L1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-L-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.30. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.30
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.36% · n=530
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors SD Aucas. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to SD Aucas's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -25.7% 7D: -11.5% 15D: 7.4% 30D: 14.8%
Model insight

Tecnico Universitario – SD Aucas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.36% and 6.36%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample35
Win Rate31.4%
Profit-8.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSBrasil de Pelotas U20 - CF Com Vida Saf U202.406.36%
LOSSEC Juventude U20 - Internacional U202.256.36%
LOSSLokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali2.386.36%
LOSSJS Hercules - FC Vaajakoski2.256.36%
LOSSMSK Zilina - Pardubice2.456.36%
LOSSReal Central NJ - Delaware FC2.356.36%
WINRochedale Rovers U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U232.407.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
NK Radomlje - NK Brinje Grosuplje22.356.36%18 Jul 18:00
Pick
2 @ 2.30
Kickoff
Lug 19, 2026 8:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.36% • n=530
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.36% • n=530
Start
Starts in 3d 11h
Updated
Updated 9m ago
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