Model: TipTromba3H

De Graafschap vs Telstar

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 17, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2h 16m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.03% · n=612

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 21h 45m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is De Graafschap. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: De Graafschap

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.73First seen

Current2.70Now

Max odds2.73Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

De GraafschapHOME

TelstarAWAY

LLWDL

Recent form

LWWDW

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.00

Defensive weakness

3.00

0.80

Shots on target for

4.60

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

4.60

Home splitL-D-W-W2.75 scored / 1.25 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-L1.00 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.03% based on n=612 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.70

V2 BandLOWROI 0.03% · n=612

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. De Graafschap is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 8.7% 7D: 3.2% 15D: 10.2% 30D: 17.4%

Model insight

De Graafschap – Telstar Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.03% across 612 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample49

Win Rate32.7%

Profit-6.79u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Sao Goncalo - Volta Redonda	2.75	0.71%
LOSS	FC Salzburg - Istanbul Basaksehir	2.63	0.03%
LOSS	St Patricks - Doncaster	2.70	0.03%
LOSS	FC Bulle - Stade Nyonnais	2.50	0.03%
WIN	MKS Kluczbork - Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2.63	0.03%
LOSS	Deportivo Armenio U20 - CS Dock Sud U20	2.55	0.03%
LOSS	RFS II - SK Super Nova II	2.70	0.03%
LOSS	Risaleh Toura - Salam Zgharta	2.88	0.71%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
EBK - P-Iirot	1	2.55	0.03%	18 Jul 16:00

Pick

1 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Lug 17, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.03% • n=612

Start

Starts in 2h 16m

Updated

Updated 21h 45m ago