Sportivo Ameliano (W) – Rubio Nu (W)

Model: TipTromba35H

Sportivo Ameliano (W) vs Rubio Nu (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 16, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 48d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sportivo Ameliano (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sportivo Ameliano (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.80First seen
Current3.25Now
Max odds3.77Highest point
Min odds2.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sportivo Ameliano (W)HOME
VS
Rubio Nu (W)AWAY
DDLLL
Recent form
DDLWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.60
2.20
Shots on target for
3.40
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
5.60
Home splitD-L-L-L-L0.20 scored / 3.80 conceded
Away splitD-W-D-L-L1.00 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Women League (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 22.1% 7D: 12.7% 15D: 13.8% 30D: 18.8%
Model insight

Sportivo Ameliano (W) – Rubio Nu (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample290
Win Rate30.7%
Profit-5.19u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINRoasso Kumamoto - Oita3.344.14%
WINFC Lokomotiva Kosice - Slavia TU Kosice3.003.85%
LOSSArgentino de Rosario Reserves - Deportivo Espanol Reserves3.003.85%
WINMFK Vitkovice - SK Unicov3.403.56%
WINNK Rudes U19 - Hajduk Split U193.403.56%
LOSSAl Qadsia SC - Al Kuwait SC3.303.56%
LOSSMalvern Town - Chippenham Town3.003.85%
LOSSAstor FC (W) - The Strongest (W)3.404.14%
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Pick
1 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Lug 16, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Started 48d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 20h ago
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