BATE Borisov vs AF Elbasani
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is AF Elbasani. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AF ElbasaniValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.18. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. AF Elbasani has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
BATE Borisov – AF Elbasani Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Finn Harps - Bray Wanderers | 2.08 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Spartak Moscow U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19 | 2.21 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | FC Nordsjaelland - Sparta Prague | 2.17 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Puskas Academy - Istanbul Basaksehir | 2.03 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Kelty Hearts - Queen's Park | 2.20 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | Drogheda United - Shelbourne | 2.06 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Fenix - Leones de Rosario | 2.14 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | Moreton City Excelsior (W) - Palm Beach SC (W) | 2.13 | -0.84% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ningbo Professional U20 - Hubei Istar U20 | 2 | 2.05 | -0.84% | 18 Jul 13:00 |
| Athlone Town U20 - Derry City U20 | 2 | 2.24 | -0.84% | 18 Jul 15:30 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City FC | 2 | 2.21 | -0.84% | 18 Jul 18:00 |