Finn Harps – Bray Wanderers

Model: TIPPSA

Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.01
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 17, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 5h 36m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=235
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 50m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bray Wanderers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bray Wanderers

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

19/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.85First seen
Current2.01Now
Max odds2.08Highest point
Min odds1.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Finn HarpsHOME
VS
Bray WanderersAWAY
LWDLL
Recent form
WWWLW
Avg goals scored
0.60
2.80
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.00
Shots on target for
3.20
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
3.40
Home splitL-W-L-D-W0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-W-W2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.01. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland FAI Cup (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.01
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=235
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Bray Wanderers a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Bray Wanderers is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 26.0% 7D: 4.2% 15D: 5.1% 30D: 18.6%
Model insight

Finn Harps – Bray Wanderers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.84% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample41
Win Rate46.3%
Profit-0.45u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINSpartak Moscow U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U192.21-0.84%
LOSSFC Nordsjaelland - Sparta Prague2.17-0.84%
LOSSBATE Borisov - AF Elbasani2.20-0.84%
WINPuskas Academy - Istanbul Basaksehir2.03-0.84%
WINKelty Hearts - Queen's Park2.20-0.84%
LOSSDrogheda United - Shelbourne2.06-0.84%
WINFenix - Leones de Rosario2.14-0.84%
LOSSMoreton City Excelsior (W) - Palm Beach SC (W)2.13-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.01
Kickoff
Lug 17, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=235
Start
Starts in 5h 36m
Updated
Updated 1h 50m ago
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