Model: TIPPSA

Palermo vs FC Ingolstadt

PREDICTION

@ 2.87

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 18, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 44d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.70% · n=151

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.70% · n=151

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 44d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Ingolstadt. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC IngolstadtGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

61/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.00First seen

Current3.05Now

Max odds4.00Highest point

Min odds3.05Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PalermoHOME

FC IngolstadtAWAY

LWLLW

Recent form

WWWWW

Avg goals scored

1.00

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.40

Shots on target for

3.00

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

3.20

Home splitL-W-W-W-W1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-L1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.87. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.70% based on n=151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.87

V2 BandHIGHROI 7.70% · n=151

V4 BandHIGHROI 7.70% · n=151

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, FC Ingolstadt has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. FC Ingolstadt has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 15.2% 7D: 8.8% 15D: 6.2% 30D: 18.4%

Model insight

Palermo – FC Ingolstadt Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.87. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.70% and 7.70%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample33

Win Rate39.4%

Profit+4.62u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FH Hafnarfjordur - Keflavik	2.78	7.70%
LOSS	Kyoto Sanga FC - Avispa Fukuoka	2.81	7.70%
WIN	Petone FC - Island Bay United	2.94	7.70%
LOSS	Sambenedettese - Forli	2.90	7.70%
WIN	Konyaspor - Caykur Rizespor	3.05	7.70%
LOSS	Randers FC - Lyngby	3.04	7.70%
LOSS	Ararat Armenia - Shamrock Rovers	3.00	7.70%
LOSS	OLS - SalPa	2.84	7.70%

Pick

2 @ 2.87

Kickoff

Lug 18, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 7.70% • n=151

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

7.70% • n=151

Start

Started 44d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 44d 13h ago