Model: TipA1

Palermo vs FC Ingolstadt

PREDICTION

@ 4.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 18, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 14h 39m

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=86

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=86

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Ingolstadt. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Ingolstadt

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

77/100

Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.00First seen

Current4.00Now

Max odds4.00Highest point

Min odds4.00Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PalermoHOME

FC IngolstadtAWAY

WLLWD

Recent form

WWWWL

Avg goals scored

1.20

2.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.40

Shots on target for

4.80

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

4.00

Home splitW-W-W-W2.25 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-L-L1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=86 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd4.00

V2 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=86

V4 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=86

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. FC Ingolstadt is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -15.8% 7D: -9.9% 15D: -4.3% 30D: 15.2%

Model insight

Palermo – FC Ingolstadt Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.91% and 9.91%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample14

Win Rate28.6%

Profit+1.70u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	West Chester United - Delaware FC	4.20	9.91%
WIN	Huachipato - Deportes Concepcion	4.10	9.91%
WIN	Cabofriense - Perolas Negras	4.00	9.91%
LOSS	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) - Ehime FC (W)	3.80	9.91%
LOSS	St Mochtas - Killester Donnycarney FC	3.90	9.91%
LOSS	EC Bahia - Botafogo	3.75	9.91%
LOSS	Barry Town - Haverfordwest County	3.80	9.07%
LOSS	CSD Chiquimulilla - Suchitepequez	3.90	9.07%

Pick

2 @ 4.00

Kickoff

Lug 18, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 9.91% • n=86

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

9.91% • n=86

Start

Starts in 14h 39m

Updated

Updated 14m ago