Millonarios vs Atletico Bucaramanga
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Millonarios. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: MillonariosGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.026 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera A (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Millonarios's attacking profile.
Millonarios – Atletico Bucaramanga Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flint City Bucks - Steel City | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | South East United FC - Launceston United | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Pauli - HNK Gorica | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flamengo SP U23 - Matonense U23 | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Macara - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.01 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 21:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
| FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova - MFK Zemplin Michalovce | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 20:30 |
| Vasco da Gama - Mirassol | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 01:30 |