Model: TIPPSH

Flint City Bucks vs Steel City

PREDICTION

@ 1.81

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 20, 2026 3:00 AM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 18h 43m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 20h 45m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Flint City Bucks. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Flint City BucksGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.160

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.78First seen

Current1.81Now

Max odds1.81Highest point

Min odds1.75Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Flint City BucksHOME

Steel CityAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

LWWWW

Avg goals scored

3.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.60

Shots on target for

10.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

2.40

Home splitW-W-W-D-W2.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-D-W1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL League Two (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.81

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Flint City Bucks's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 43.2% 7D: 24.3% 15D: 17.5% 30D: 20.1%

Model insight

Flint City Bucks – Steel City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample293

Win Rate46.4%

Profit-33.97u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1.79	1.04%
WIN	South East United FC - Launceston United	1.95	1.04%
WIN	St Pauli - HNK Gorica	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	2.00	1.04%
WIN	Flamengo SP U23 - Matonense U23	1.75	1.04%
LOSS	Kaisar Kyzylorda - FK Kaspyi Aktau	1.96	1.31%
WIN	JK Tallinna Kalev - JK Nomme United II	1.90	1.31%
LOSS	Vasco da Gama U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1.85	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.81

Kickoff

Lug 20, 2026 3:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 18h 43m ago

Updated

Updated 20h 45m ago