Model: TIPPSH
Chester vs Stoke U21
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.86
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 21, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 5h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Chester. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ChesterGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.089 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
27/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current1.86Now
Max odds2.89Highest point
Min odds1.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
ChesterHOME
VS
Stoke U21AWAY
LWLWL
Recent form
WLLW
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.75
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
2.60
1.67
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
4.67
Home splitL-D-W-W0.75 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitW1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.86. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.86
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 37.6%
7D: 30.7%
15D: 21.7%
30D: 23.5%
Model insight
Chester – Stoke U21 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample326
Win Rate47.2%
Profit-29.26u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Velez Sarsfield Reserves - CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flint City Bucks - Steel City | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | South East United FC - Launceston United | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Pauli - HNK Gorica | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flamengo SP U23 - Matonense U23 | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Kaisar Kyzylorda - FK Kaspyi Aktau | 1.96 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Macara - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.01 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 21:00 |
| RB Keflavik - KB Breidholt | 1 | 1.96 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 22:00 |
| SV River Plate - SV Atlantico Deportivo | 1 | 2.00 | 1.04% | 23 Jul 02:30 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
| FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova - MFK Zemplin Michalovce | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 20:30 |
| Millonarios - Atletico Bucaramanga | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 01:10 |
Pick
1 @ 1.86
Kickoff
Lug 21, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 5h ago