Termez Surkhon – Dinamo Samarqand

Model: TipA1

Termez Surkhon vs Dinamo Samarqand

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.10
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 23, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 13h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dinamo Samarqand. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dinamo SamarqandGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.140 | A: 0.021

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.18Now
Max odds2.18Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Termez SurkhonHOME
VS
Dinamo SamarqandAWAY
WWWDL
Recent form
WDLWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.80
Shots on target for
3.20
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
7.00
4.20
Home splitD-W-L-W1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-L-L1.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=691 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uzbekistan PFL (uz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.10
V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Dinamo Samarqand has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 4.6% 7D: 26.7% 15D: 19.3% 30D: 21.4%
Model insight

Termez Surkhon – Dinamo Samarqand Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 691 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample169
Win Rate48.5%
Profit+1.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSInverness CT - St Johnstone2.15-3.85%
WINRyutsu Keizai Dragons - Nihon University2.00-1.48%
LOSSVIFK (W) - PK-35 (W)2.20-3.85%
LOSSBasel - Juventus2.00-1.48%
WINAlmirante Brown Reserves - CA San Telmo Reserves2.00-1.48%
LOSSSao Luiz - CSA2.20-1.48%
LOSSMacarthur Rams (W) - Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)2.00-3.85%
LOSSArgentino Quilmes - Arsenal de Sarandi2.15-1.48%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Gazalkent - Metallurg Bekabad22.00-1.48%23 Jul 15:00
Peninsula Power (W) - The Gap NPL (W)22.00-1.48%24 Jul 12:30
FC Anyang - Gangwon FC22.20-1.48%26 Jul 12:30
Pick
2 @ 2.10
Kickoff
Lug 23, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691
Start
Starts in 1d 13h
Updated
Updated 6m ago
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