New England Revolution II – New York City FC II

Model: TipTromba2H

New England Revolution II vs New York City FC II

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.91
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 23, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 9h 58m
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.89% · n=604
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is New England Revolution II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: New England Revolution IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.66First seen
Current1.91Now
Max odds1.91Highest point
Min odds1.66Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

New England Revolution IIHOME
VS
New York City FC IIAWAY
DLWLW
Recent form
WWDWW
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.40
Defensive weakness
2.00
0.80
Shots on target for
5.40
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
3.60
Home splitD-L-L-W-W1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-L2.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.91. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.89% based on n=604 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.91
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.89% · n=604
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. New England Revolution II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 22.8% 7D: 28.7% 15D: 21.0% 30D: 22.1%
Model insight

New England Revolution II – New York City FC II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.91. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.89% across 604 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample193
Win Rate57.0%
Profit+9.08u
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WINNankatsu SC - Toin Yokohama University1.807.35%
LOSSCA Atlanta U20 - Club Comunicaciones U201.857.35%
WINASK Voitsberg - NK Bistrica1.906.89%
LOSSToluca U19 (W) - Club America U19 (W)1.837.35%
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Pick
1 @ 1.91
Kickoff
Lug 23, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.89% • n=604
Start
Starts in 9h 58m
Updated
Updated 1d 4h ago
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