Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena Utd
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Ballymena Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Ballymena UtdGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.176 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.30. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.70% based on n=112 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Ballymena Utd as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Carrick Rangers – Ballymena Utd Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Operario PR - Gremio Novorizontino | 3.25 | 2.63% |
| WIN | Drukpa FC - Thimphu City | 3.10 | 4.44% |
| WIN | FC Trinity Zlin - MFK Skalica | 3.50 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Ferroviario Lichinga - Costa Do Sol | 3.50 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Arborg - Ellidi | 3.25 | 2.63% |
| WIN | We United FC - Sagicor South East FC | 3.30 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Matonense U23 - Sao Carlos U23 | 3.30 | 2.63% |
| WIN | SV Estrella - SV Caiquetio | 3.25 | 2.63% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJK/2 - SaPa | 2 | 3.25 | 2.63% | 24 Jul 18:00 |