Hapoel Tel Aviv – Ludogorets Razgrad

Model: TipTromba35H

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets Razgrad

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.12
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 23, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 4h 34m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8h 38m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hapoel Tel Aviv. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hapoel Tel AvivGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.028 | A: 0.147

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.05First seen
Current3.20Now
Max odds3.39Highest point
Min odds2.59Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hapoel Tel AvivHOME
VS
Ludogorets RazgradAWAY
DDWWD
Recent form
WWWDW
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
4.60
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
4.00
Home splitL-W-D0.67 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-D-L0.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.12. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.12
V2 BandLOWROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -9.8% 7D: 33.8% 15D: 21.2% 30D: 23.8%
Model insight

Hapoel Tel Aviv – Ludogorets Razgrad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.12. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.01% across 821 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
1 @ 3.12
Kickoff
Lug 23, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.01% • n=821
Start
Started 4h 34m ago
Updated
Updated 8h 38m ago
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