Bay FC (W) – North Carolina Courage (W)

Model: TipTromba35H

Bay FC (W) vs North Carolina Courage (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.13
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 19, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 9h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bay FC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bay FC (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.09First seen
Current3.13Now
Max odds3.14Highest point
Min odds3.09Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bay FC (W)HOME
VS
North Carolina Courage (W)AWAY
WDLLL
Recent form
LWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
5.60
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
3.80
Home splitL-D-D-L0.25 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D-W1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.13. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA NWSL Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.13
V2 BandLOWROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Bay FC (W). The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 21.7% 7D: 4.2% 15D: 5.1% 30D: 18.6%
Model insight

Bay FC (W) – North Carolina Courage (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.13. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.01% across 821 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Leevon PPK - FK Beitar Riga/Mariners13.100.01%18 Jul 12:00
Pick
1 @ 3.13
Kickoff
Lug 19, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.01% • n=821
Start
Starts in 1d 9h
Updated
Updated 6m ago
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