Model: TIPPSH

Valentine Phoenix vs Charlestown Azzurri

PREDICTION

@ 2.46

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 25, 2026 10:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 22h 35m

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Valentine Phoenix. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Valentine PhoenixGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.055 | A: -0.264

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

61/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.48First seen

Current2.46Now

Max odds2.48Highest point

Min odds2.46Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Valentine PhoenixHOME

Charlestown AzzurriAWAY

WLDWL

Recent form

LLLLD

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

4.20

Shots on target for

5.20

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

7.00

Home splitW-D-W-D-D1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.40 scored / 3.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.46. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.46

V2 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311

V4 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Valentine Phoenix's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 12.8% 7D: 34.4% 15D: 20.0% 30D: 25.8%

Model insight

Valentine Phoenix – Charlestown Azzurri Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.46. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample17

Win Rate58.8%

Profit+7.09u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	ND Beltinci - Sharjah SCC	2.44	8.94%
WIN	Spokane Velocity FC - Charlotte Independence	2.27	8.94%
LOSS	Bangor Celtic FC - College Corinthians FC	2.55	8.94%
WIN	Dalian Young Boy - Shandong Taishan	2.28	8.94%
LOSS	Farul Constanta - Otelul Galati	2.30	8.94%
WIN	Green Gully - Bentleigh Greens	2.39	8.94%
WIN	Heidelberg Utd U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U23	2.63	8.94%
WIN	Monterey Bay FC - El Paso Locomotive FC	2.51	8.94%

Active Similar Predictions

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Pick

1 @ 2.46

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 10:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

8.94% • n=311

Start

Starts in 22h 35m

Updated

Updated 56m ago