Matsumoto Y FC – Ventforet Kofu

Model: TipTromba35H

Matsumoto Y FC vs Ventforet Kofu

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 25, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 7h 46m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19h 40m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Matsumoto Y FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Matsumoto Y FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current3.10Now
Max odds3.19Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Matsumoto Y FCHOME
VS
Ventforet KofuAWAY
WLWDD
Recent form
LLLDD
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.60
Shots on target for
4.80
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
4.60
Home splitW-L-D-D-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-D-W0.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.10
V2 BandLOWROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Matsumoto Y FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 18.6% 7D: 30.1% 15D: 20.1% 30D: 25.3%
Model insight

Matsumoto Y FC – Ventforet Kofu Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.01% across 821 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample80
Win Rate26.3%
Profit-15.20u
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WINBay FC (W) - North Carolina Courage (W)3.140.01%
WINLeevon PPK - FK Beitar Riga/Mariners3.100.01%
LOSSSportivo Ameliano (W) - Rubio Nu (W)3.100.01%
LOSSBonsucesso FC - Madureira RJ3.100.01%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
NK Osijek - Caykur Rizespor13.000.01%25 Jul 20:00
Pick
1 @ 3.10
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.01% • n=821
Start
Started 7h 46m ago
Updated
Updated 19h 40m ago
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