Model: TipA1

Fardu Ferghana vs FC Lochin

PREDICTION

@ 3.40

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 25, 2026 4:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 2h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.91% · n=112

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.91% · n=112

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Lochin. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC LochinGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.026

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

45/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.40First seen

Current3.51Now

Max odds3.51Highest point

Min odds3.40Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Fardu FerghanaHOME

FC LochinAWAY

LLWLD

Recent form

WWWLD

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.80

Defensive weakness

2.60

0.60

Shots on target for

3.60

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

2.40

Home splitW-L-D-D-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-W1.25 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.40. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.91% based on n=112 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uzbekistan 1st Division (uz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.40

V2 BandLOWROI 1.91% · n=112

V4 BandLOWROI 1.91% · n=112

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, FC Lochin has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 12.8% 7D: 34.4% 15D: 20.0% 30D: 24.5%

Model insight

Fardu Ferghana – FC Lochin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.91% and 1.91%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample38

Win Rate26.3%

Profit-4.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Real Oruro - Universitario De Vinto	3.30	1.91%
WIN	Juazeirense - Serra Branca EC	3.25	1.91%
LOSS	CD Lujan - CSD Fontana	3.50	1.91%
WIN	HJS U21 - LePa U21	3.60	1.91%
LOSS	Craigavon City (W) - Mid Ulster (W)	3.40	1.91%
LOSS	Hakoah Sydney City East - Dulwich Hill	3.40	1.91%
LOSS	Modena U19 - Avellino U19	3.25	1.37%
WIN	Heerenveen U21 - NEC U21	3.20	0.77%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FK Blansko - FC Spartak Velka Bites	2	3.40	1.91%	25 Jul 10:30

Pick

2 @ 3.40

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 4:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.91% • n=112

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.91% • n=112

Start

Starts in 1d 2h

Updated

Updated 9m ago