Modena U19 – Avellino U19

Model: TIPPSA

Modena U19 vs Avellino U19

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 56d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Avellino U19. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Avellino U19

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.86Now
Max odds3.40Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Modena U19HOME
VS
Avellino U19AWAY
DDWWD
Recent form
DLWDD
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.40
0.60
Shots on target for
3.00
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
3.80
Home splitD-D-W-D0.75 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitD-L-D-W0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.85. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.31% based on n=124 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Campionato Primavera 2 (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.85
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.31% · n=124
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.31% · n=124
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Avellino U19. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Avellino U19's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 6.4% 7D: 0.3% 15D: -4.2% 30D: -2.8%
Model insight

Modena U19 – Avellino U19 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.31% and 6.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate42.3%
Profit+5.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSOLS - SalPa2.847.70%
LOSSFC Kitzbuhel - Hohenems2.827.70%
WINMaccabi Panthers Ashdod (W) - FC Ramat Hasharon (W)2.837.70%
LOSSDeportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma2.946.31%
LOSSMadura United - Bali United2.825.70%
LOSSBayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig3.006.31%
WINAubagne Air Bel - Stade Briochin2.765.70%
LOSSNantes (W) - Lyon (W)3.016.31%
Pick
2 @ 2.85
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.31% • n=124
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.31% • n=124
Start
Started 56d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 5h ago
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