Model: TIPPSA
Modena U19 – Avellino U19
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 10d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.31% · n=124
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Modena U19 | Avellino U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-W-W-D | D-L-W-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-W-D (home) | D-L-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.75 scored / 0.50 conceded | 0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 4.60 against | 6.20 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 5.67 against (home) | 4.67 for / 3.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Avellino U19 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.86Now
Max odds3.40Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Modena U19 – Avellino U19 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.31% and 6.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate44.0%
Profit+6.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FC Kitzbuhel - Hohenems | 2.82 | 7.70% |
| WIN | Maccabi Panthers Ashdod (W) - FC Ramat Hasharon (W) | 2.83 | 7.70% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma | 2.94 | 6.31% |
| LOSS | Madura United - Bali United | 2.82 | 5.70% |
| LOSS | Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig | 3.00 | 6.31% |
| WIN | Aubagne Air Bel - Stade Briochin | 2.76 | 5.70% |
| LOSS | Nantes (W) - Lyon (W) | 3.01 | 6.31% |
| WIN | Strasbourg (W) - Le Havre (W) | 3.02 | 5.70% |
Pick
2 @ 2.85
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.31% • n=124
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.31% • n=124
Start
Started 10d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 8h ago