NK Triglav Kranj vs HNK Segesta
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is HNK Segesta. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: HNK SegestaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.387Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.22. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. HNK Segesta has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
NK Triglav Kranj – HNK Segesta Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Besiktas - Midtjylland | 3.31 | -0.79% |
| WIN | KuPS (W) - Aland United (W) | 3.00 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Anapolis FC - Botafogo PB | 3.10 | -1.07% |
| WIN | FC Haka - KTP | 2.97 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Avai - Cuiaba | 3.20 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Sao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude | 3.22 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Tianjin Shengde (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W) | 3.43 | -0.79% |
| LOSS | Belgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 3.02 | -1.07% |