Carapegua vs General Caballero JLM
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Carapegua. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CarapeguaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.025 | A: 0.079Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.30. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.56% based on n=265 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Division Intermedia (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Carapegua as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Carapegua – General Caballero JLM Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Sporting Cristal - Bragantino | 3.47 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Cordoba - Sevilla | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Levante U20 - Morocco U20 | 3.30 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Central Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Algeria (W) - Zambia (W) | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| WIN | Dunkerque - Samsunspor | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Ekhaya FC - Big Bullets | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Tadotsu FC - Lavenirosso NC | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Brno - SFK Vrchovina | 1 | 3.40 | 3.56% | 25 Jul 10:30 |
| ONS (W) - FC Honka (W) | 1 | 3.10 | 2.17% | 25 Jul 15:00 |
| BFA Vilnius - FK BE1 | 1 | 3.10 | 3.85% | 26 Jul 14:00 |
| Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 26 Jul 17:00 |