BFA Vilnius – FK BE1

Model: TipTromba35H

BFA Vilnius vs FK BE1

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.10
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 26, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 23h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.61% · n=186
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is BFA Vilnius. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BFA VilniusGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.000 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.63First seen
Current3.24Now
Max odds3.24Highest point
Min odds2.63Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BFA VilniusHOME
VS
FK BE1AWAY
WWWLL
Recent form
WWLWL
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.60
Shots on target for
5.40
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
1.80
2.40
Home splitW-L-L-W-W1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-W-W1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.61% based on n=186 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania 1 Lyga (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.10
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.61% · n=186
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to BFA Vilnius's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -65.0% 7D: 41.7% 15D: 20.0% 30D: 24.5%
Model insight

BFA Vilnius – FK BE1 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.61% across 186 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample149
Win Rate29.5%
Profit-11.25u
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WINAlgeria (W) - Zambia (W)3.254.14%
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WINPaulista FC - Primavera SP3.003.85%
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Pick
1 @ 3.10
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.61% • n=186
Start
Starts in 1d 23h
Updated
Updated 9m ago
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