Oviedo – Deportivo La Coruna

Model: TIPPSA

Oviedo vs Deportivo La Coruna

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.39
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 25, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 4h 7m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo La Coruna. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo La CorunaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.106

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.48Now
Max odds2.48Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

OviedoHOME
VS
Deportivo La CorunaAWAY
DLLLD
Recent form
DWLWW
Avg goals scored
0.00
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.60
Shots on target for
1.40
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
3.00
Home splitD-L-D-L-D0.40 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-W-D1.60 scored / 0.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.39. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.39
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Deportivo La Coruna a useful statistical edge. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Deportivo La Coruna is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 7.0% 7D: 20.9% 15D: 17.8% 30D: 22.8%
Model insight

Oviedo – Deportivo La Coruna Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.39. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample164
Win Rate39.6%
Profit-8.44u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCobh Ramblers - Bray Wanderers2.273.43%
LOSSAustin FC - Seattle Sounders2.303.43%
WINIFK Varnamo - Ljungskile2.543.59%
WINLipno Steszew - Unia Swarzedz2.444.13%
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion22.473.59%25 Jul 23:30
Pick
2 @ 2.39
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.13% • n=261
Start
Started 4h 7m ago
Updated
Updated 6h 9m ago
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