Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Philadelphia Union. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Philadelphia UnionGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.143 | A: -0.167Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Philadelphia Union – Seattle Sounders Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Inter Lions - Prospect United | 2.00 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Internacional (W) - Fluminense RJ (W) | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| WIN | SD Atletico Nacional - San Francisco Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FC Kufstein - FC Pinzgau | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Pocheon Citizen FC - Daejeon Korail | 2.16 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Sacachispas U20 - El Porvenir U20 | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Fulham United FC | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| Liaoning Ironman - Qingdao West Coast | 1 | 2.16 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 13:35 |
| Polissya Zhytomyr II - UCSA | 1 | 2.29 | 1.59% | 25 Jul 15:00 |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1 | 2.09 | 1.31% | 25 Jul 15:00 |
| Barry Town - Gloucester | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 25 Jul 16:00 |