San Diego FC – FC Dallas

Model: TIPPSH

San Diego FC vs FC Dallas

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.29
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 26, 2026 5:30 AM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 1d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is San Diego FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: San Diego FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.008 | A: 0.110

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.12First seen
Current2.31Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds2.12Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

San Diego FCHOME
VS
FC DallasAWAY
WLLDW
Recent form
LDWWL
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.80
Shots on target for
5.80
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
6.20
Home splitW-L-D-W-D2.60 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.29. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.29
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. San Diego FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 10.0% 7D: 21.4% 15D: 15.9% 30D: 21.9%
Model insight

San Diego FC – FC Dallas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.29. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample272
Win Rate46.7%
Profit+8.27u
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WINAlbirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata2.311.59%
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LOSSWolverhampton - Real Sociedad2.071.31%
LOSSHouston Dynamo II - Austin FC II2.471.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.29
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 5:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 1d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 8h ago
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