Albirex Niigata – Montedio Yamagata

Model: TIPPSH

Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.33
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 26, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 3m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Albirex Niigata. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Albirex NiigataGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.31Now
Max odds2.31Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Albirex NiigataHOME
VS
Montedio YamagataAWAY
LDLWW
Recent form
WLLWL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.00
Shots on target for
5.40
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
4.40
Home splitL-D-L-W-W1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-L0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.33. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.33
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -11.8% 7D: 5.6% 15D: 12.0% 30D: 20.7%
Model insight

Albirex Niigata – Montedio Yamagata Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.33. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample219
Win Rate45.2%
Profit+3.60u
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Pick
1 @ 2.33
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Starts in 1h
Updated
Updated 1h 3m ago
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