Model: TIPPSA

Salford City vs Dundee Utd

PREDICTION

@ 2.55

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 25, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 2

StartStarted 15h 29m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 17h 31m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dundee Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dundee UtdGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.068 | A: 0.030

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

45/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.70Now

Max odds2.70Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Salford CityHOME

Dundee UtdAWAY

WWLDW

Recent form

LWWLW

Avg goals scored

2.20

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.80

0.80

Shots on target for

5.40

7.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

2.00

Home splitW-D-W-D-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-D-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.55. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.55

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Dundee Utd's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 8.8% 7D: 21.3% 15D: 15.2% 30D: 21.8%

Model insight

Salford City – Dundee Utd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample142

Win Rate42.3%

Profit+8.74u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	2.47	3.59%
LOSS	Kalmar FF - Mjällby AIF	2.71	4.13%
LOSS	Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	2.30	3.43%
WIN	IFK Varnamo - Ljungskile	2.54	3.59%
WIN	Lipno Steszew - Unia Swarzedz	2.44	4.13%
WIN	Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)	2.34	3.43%
WIN	Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre	2.65	4.13%
WIN	Maldives - Afghanistan	2.63	4.13%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.55

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 15h 29m ago

Updated

Updated 17h 31m ago