Model: TIPPSH

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Fulham

PREDICTION

@ 4.40

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 28, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2h 34m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.63% · n=79

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Al Ahli Jeddah. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Al Ahli JeddahGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.50First seen

Current5.20Now

Max odds5.25Highest point

Min odds4.50Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Al Ahli JeddahHOME

FulhamAWAY

LWWWW

Recent form

WDLLW

Avg goals scored

3.60

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.00

Shots on target for

6.40

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

4.00

Home splitW-W-W-W-W2.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-L0.25 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.40. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.63% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.40

V2 BandLOWROI 0.63% · n=79

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Al Ahli Jeddah. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Al Ahli Jeddah has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -7.4% 7D: -4.3% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 16.6%

Model insight

Al Ahli Jeddah – Fulham Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.63% across 79 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample3

Win Rate33.3%

Profit+1.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Vasas SC - Gyori ETO	4.35	0.63%
WIN	Xuan Thien Phu Tho - Truong Tuoi Dong Nai	4.30	0.63%
LOSS	Itagui Leones - Independiente Medellin	4.31	0.63%

Pick

1 @ 4.40

Kickoff

Lug 28, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.63% • n=79

Start

Starts in 2h 34m

Updated

Updated 9m ago