Model: TipTromba45H

Farnham vs Yeovil

PREDICTION

@ 4.33

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 28, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 1h 29m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.68% · n=92

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.68% · n=92

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9h 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Farnham. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FarnhamGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.100

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.33First seen

Current4.33Now

Max odds4.33Highest point

Min odds4.33Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FarnhamHOME

YeovilAWAY

DDWDW

Recent form

DLDWL

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

2.20

Shots on target for

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

5.00

Home splitD-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-W-L1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.33. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.68% based on n=92 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.33

V2 BandLOWROI 0.68% · n=92

V4 BandLOWROI 0.68% · n=92

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -17.1% 7D: -1.8% 15D: 10.5% 30D: 15.2%

Model insight

Farnham – Yeovil Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.68% and 0.68%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample16

Win Rate50.0%

Profit+17.49u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Nacional Senac - CD Municipal Tarija	4.33	0.68%
WIN	Boston City FC U20 - America MG U20	4.33	0.68%
WIN	Byåsen - Melhus	4.33	0.68%
LOSS	Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves	4.20	1.80%
LOSS	Fish United - NoPS	4.10	1.80%
WIN	VJS Vantaa - FF Jaro	4.10	1.80%
WIN	AS Binah - ASKO Kara	4.33	1.72%
LOSS	ATUS Ferlach - SV Donau Klagenfurt	4.20	1.80%

Pick

1 @ 4.33

Kickoff

Lug 28, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.68% • n=92

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

0.68% • n=92

Start

Started 1h 29m ago

Updated

Updated 9h 8m ago