Gimnasia Mendoza – Union Santa Fe

Model: TIPPSH

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Union Santa Fe

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.11
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 01, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 15h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.04% · n=113
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gimnasia Mendoza. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gimnasia MendozaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.036 | A: -0.026

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.89First seen
Current3.11Now
Max odds3.11Highest point
Min odds2.89Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gimnasia MendozaHOME
VS
Union Santa FeAWAY
LWWLW
Recent form
DLLWD
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.60
Shots on target for
4.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
4.00
Home splitW-W-W-D-W1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-D-L1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.11. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.04% based on n=113 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Liga Profesional (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.11
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.04% · n=113
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Gimnasia Mendoza. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 4.7% 7D: -3.2% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 15.2%
Model insight

Gimnasia Mendoza – Union Santa Fe Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.04% across 113 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate38.9%
Profit+2.85u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKF Fjallabyggd - Reynir Sandgerdi3.004.53%
LOSSSligo Rovers - Drogheda United2.884.53%
WINWestern City Rangers - Newcastle Jets NPL3.022.04%
WINJK Trans Narva - Parnu JK Vaprus3.002.04%
LOSSSuwon FC - Seoul E-Land FC2.894.53%
LOSSFH Hafnarfjordur - Breidablik3.054.53%
WINSeongnam FC - Busan I Park3.014.53%
LOSSFredrikstad - Lillestrom2.892.04%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Central Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves13.094.53%21 Jul 19:00
Pick
1 @ 3.11
Kickoff
Ago 01, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.04% • n=113
Start
Starts in 3d 15h
Updated
Updated 9m ago
Torna in alto