Nepean FC vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Nepean FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Nepean FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.011 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.50. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.19% based on n=44 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Nepean FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Nepean FC – Bonnyrigg White Eagles Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Atletico River Plate Reserves - Penarol Reserves | 3.50 | -4.45% |
| LOSS | Stalybridge - Leek Town | 3.50 | -1.19% |
| LOSS | Clermont Foot - Montpellier | 3.50 | -1.19% |
| LOSS | Changwon City - Gimhae FC 2008 | 3.50 | -0.61% |
| LOSS | Matlock Town - Quorn | 3.75 | -3.05% |
| LOSS | Tonbridge Angels - Sutton Utd | 3.70 | -4.45% |
| LOSS | Aarhus Fremad - SK Brann | 3.70 | -0.61% |
| LOSS | Hawkesbury City SC - Fraser Park | 3.60 | -4.45% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikstad FK U19 - Stabaek U19 | 1 | 3.70 | -4.45% | 29 Jul 18:00 |