Essendon Royals vs Altona City
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Essendon Royals. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Essendon RoyalsGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.013 | A: -0.078Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Victoria Premier League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Essendon Royals, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Essendon Royals is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Essendon Royals – Altona City Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Shkendija Tetovo - NK Bravo | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| WIN | JaPS U21 - TiPS U21 | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | PPJ/Lauttasaari - LPS Helsinki | 1.55 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Atletico Barinas - Real Frontera | 1.53 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Rayon Sports FC - Tusker | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Cagliari - Modena | 1.65 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Al Nejmeh - Al Ahed | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Ivory Coast U20 - Benin U20 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Hobart FC 2 - Taroona | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 31 Jul 12:15 |
| North Star - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.73 | -3.82% | 31 Jul 12:30 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt (W) - Strasbourg (W) | 1 | 1.53 | -3.82% | 31 Jul 17:00 |
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia Bialystok II | 1 | 1.73 | -3.38% | 31 Jul 18:00 |
| Valerenga - Ham-Kam | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 31 Jul 19:00 |
| St Patricks - Derry City | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 31 Jul 20:45 |
| Union Magdalena - Orsomarso | 1 | 1.67 | -3.38% | 01 Aug 01:00 |
| Dunedin City Royals FC - Wanaka AFC | 1 | 1.57 | -3.38% | 01 Aug 04:00 |