Union Magdalena – Orsomarso

Model: TipTromba2H

Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.67
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 01, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 17h 32m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13h 21m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Union Magdalena. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Union MagdalenaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.015 | A: -0.032

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

8/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.62First seen
Current1.68Now
Max odds1.72Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Union MagdalenaHOME
VS
OrsomarsoAWAY
LDDWL
Recent form
WDDLD
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.00
Shots on target for
5.00
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
4.40
Home splitD-W-W-L-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-L-L0.33 scored / 1.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera B (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.67
V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Union Magdalena is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -36.7% 7D: -16.2% 15D: 7.9% 30D: 8.7%
Model insight

Union Magdalena – Orsomarso Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample428
Win Rate64.3%
Profit+13.77u
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WINAl Nejmeh - Al Ahed1.57-3.38%
WINIvory Coast U20 - Benin U201.50-3.38%
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Pick
1 @ 1.67
Kickoff
Ago 01, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115
Start
Starts in 17h 32m
Updated
Updated 13h 21m ago
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