Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Union Magdalena. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Union MagdalenaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.015 | A: -0.032Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera B (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Union Magdalena is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Union Magdalena – Orsomarso Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Shkendija Tetovo - NK Bravo | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| WIN | JaPS U21 - TiPS U21 | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | PPJ/Lauttasaari - LPS Helsinki | 1.55 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Atletico Barinas - Real Frontera | 1.53 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Rayon Sports FC - Tusker | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Cagliari - Modena | 1.65 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Al Nejmeh - Al Ahed | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Ivory Coast U20 - Benin U20 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Hobart FC 2 - Taroona | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 31 Jul 12:15 |
| North Star - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.73 | -3.82% | 31 Jul 12:30 |
| Essendon Royals - Altona City | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 31 Jul 12:30 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt (W) - Strasbourg (W) | 1 | 1.53 | -3.82% | 31 Jul 17:00 |
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia Bialystok II | 1 | 1.73 | -3.38% | 31 Jul 18:00 |
| Valerenga - Ham-Kam | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 31 Jul 19:00 |
| St Patricks - Derry City | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 31 Jul 20:45 |
| Dunedin City Royals FC - Wanaka AFC | 1 | 1.57 | -3.38% | 01 Aug 04:00 |