Model: TIPPSA

Coritiba vs Cruzeiro

PREDICTION

@ 2.36

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 31, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 2d 12h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Cruzeiro. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CruzeiroGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.027 | A: 0.011

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.35First seen

Current2.36Now

Max odds2.36Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CoritibaHOME

CruzeiroAWAY

LDLLW

Recent form

WLWLW

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.00

Shots on target for

3.80

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

3.40

Home splitL-L-W-L-D1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-D-W1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.36. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.36

V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Cruzeiro has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -26.1% 7D: -17.4% 15D: 3.6% 30D: 6.2%

Model insight

Coritiba – Cruzeiro Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.36. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample87

Win Rate42.5%

Profit-1.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%
LOSS	FK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2.37	0.84%
LOSS	Carina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II	2.19	1.21%
WIN	Sandviken - Kvik Halden FK	2.33	0.84%
LOSS	Hradec Kralove - Tromso	2.11	1.21%
WIN	Yeoju - Dangjin Citizen FC	2.49	0.84%
LOSS	Amazonas FC - Paysandu	2.15	1.21%
LOSS	Necaxa - Monterrey	2.13	1.76%

Pick

2 @ 2.36

Kickoff

Lug 31, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717

Start

Started 2d 12h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 16h ago