Charleroi vs Rayo Vallecano
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Charleroi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CharleroiGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.032 | A: -0.011Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.26. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.88% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Charleroi – Rayo Vallecano Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | UCD - Cork City | 3.11 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Hume City - Oakleigh Cannons | 3.27 | -1.88% |
| LOSS | Rio Barra FC - Tigres do Brasil | 3.34 | -1.88% |
| WIN | Benfica Macau - Macau Chiba FC | 3.27 | -1.88% |
| LOSS | Brazil (W) - USA (W) | 3.09 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Suva FC - Lautoka FC | 3.15 | -2.37% |
| WIN | VPS Vaasa - HJK Helsinki | 3.32 | -1.88% |
| WIN | Loveledge Nagoya (W) - Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W) | 3.10 | -3.20% |