IFK Berga – IFK Trelleborg

Model: TipA1

IFK Berga vs IFK Trelleborg

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.35
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 02, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 1
StartStarted 1d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is IFK Trelleborg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IFK TrelleborgGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

44/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.42First seen
Current2.42Now
Max odds2.45Highest point
Min odds2.42Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IFK BergaHOME
VS
IFK TrelleborgAWAY
WWLWL
Recent form
LWDWL
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
5.00
7.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
3.40
Home splitW-W-W-W-W3.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-L-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.35
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to IFK Trelleborg's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 28.0% 7D: 3.9% 15D: 10.5% 30D: 8.7%
Model insight

IFK Berga – IFK Trelleborg Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample216
Win Rate40.7%
Profit-7.63u
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LOSSAtlantis II - FC Lahti II2.604.27%
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LOSSWestern Sydney Wanderers U21 - University NSW2.604.27%
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Pick
2 @ 2.35
Kickoff
Ago 02, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151
Start
Started 1d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 16h ago
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