Independiente Santa Fe vs Once Caldas
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Once Caldas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Once CaldasGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.141 | A: 0.178Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.61. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.79% based on n=75 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Primera A (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Once Caldas as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Once Caldas has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Independiente Santa Fe – Once Caldas Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Delfin SC - Leones FC | 3.71 | -0.79% |
| LOSS | Real Sociedad - Racing Santander | 3.50 | -1.31% |
| LOSS | Sacramento Republic - Rhode Island FC | 3.50 | -1.31% |
| LOSS | Tianjin Shengde (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W) | 3.43 | -0.79% |
| LOSS | Armenia - Kazakhstan | 3.70 | -1.31% |
| LOSS | Herediano - Cartagines | 3.48 | -1.78% |
| WIN | Braga B - AD Sanjoanense | 3.78 | -1.79% |
| LOSS | Brusque - Caxias RS | 3.75 | -1.79% |