Orgryte IS vs AIK
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Orgryte IS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Orgryte ISGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.052 | A: 0.044Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.20. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Allsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Orgryte IS is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Orgryte IS – AIK Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Zamora II - Urena SC | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | UCAM Murcia CF - Hercules | 3.20 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Espanyol B - UE Sant Andreu | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Mansfield - Derby | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| WIN | CA Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Moron | 3.04 | 0.01% |
| WIN | Juarez FC (W) - Pachuca (W) | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| WIN | Wealdstone - AFC Wimbledon | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | FC Levadia Tallinn - IFK Goteborg | 3.14 | 0.01% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion - Blackburn | 1 | 3.02 | 0.01% | 08 Aug 16:00 |