Burton Albion vs Blackburn
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Burton Albion. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Burton AlbionGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.026 | A: 0.002Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.02. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England EFL Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Burton Albion's attacking profile.
Burton Albion – Blackburn Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Zamora II - Urena SC | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | UCAM Murcia CF - Hercules | 3.20 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Espanyol B - UE Sant Andreu | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Mansfield - Derby | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| WIN | CA Chaco For Ever - Deportivo Moron | 3.04 | 0.01% |
| WIN | Juarez FC (W) - Pachuca (W) | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| WIN | Wealdstone - AFC Wimbledon | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | FC Levadia Tallinn - IFK Goteborg | 3.14 | 0.01% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS - AIK | 1 | 3.20 | 0.01% | 08 Aug 15:00 |