Holstebro – AaB

Model: TipTromba9H

Holstebro vs AaB

PREDICTION
1
@ 8.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 04, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 10h 37m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.07% · n=49
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Holstebro. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HolstebroGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.029 | A: 0.001

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds6.69First seen
Current8.50Now
Max odds8.50Highest point
Min odds6.69Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HolstebroHOME
VS
AaBAWAY
LWDWW
Recent form
WWWLD
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.20
Shots on target for
3.80
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
4.00
Home splitL-W-W-D-W2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D-D1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.07% based on n=49 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Cup (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd8.50
V2 BandNONEROI -7.07% · n=49
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Holstebro as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 46.8% 7D: 20.9% 15D: 8.7% 30D: 13.2%
Model insight

Holstebro – AaB Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -7.07% across 49 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample37
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-37.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSMoldova Beach - Italy Beach8.50-0.15%
LOSSSportivo San Lorenzo Reserves - Club Guarani Reserves8.50-6.42%
LOSSBroadmeadow Magic (W) - New Lambton FC (W)8.50-6.05%
LOSSMattersburger Sportverein 2020 - First Vienna FC 18948.50-6.05%
LOSSAnjos do Ceu FC U20 - CEFAT Tirol U208.50-6.05%
LOSSFC Dornbirn 1913 - SV Ried8.50-6.05%
LOSSPlayford - Adelaide United8.50-7.07%
LOSSBrechin - Stenhousemuir8.50-6.05%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
UNSAAC (W) - Atletico Andahuaylas (W)18.50-6.05%05 Aug 22:00
Pick
1 @ 8.50
Kickoff
Ago 04, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.07% • n=49
Start
Started 10h 37m ago
Updated
Updated 12h 39m ago
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